Interactive model of a fringe farmland parcel converting to housing under land value, population growth, a transport link, terrain and a planning strategy
Drivers push on farmland. Terrain and planners push back
A parcel on the edge of a growing town does not change for one reason. Rising land value, new households and a new transport link each push cells from farmland to housing, while the hill behind the parcel and the planning strategy decide how far that push gets. Add years, switch the drivers on one at a time, and watch which cells convert first and which ones never do.
Fringe parcel model
0 drivers · no strategy
Add years. Switch a driver on. Choose a planning strategy and watch what happens beyond the dashed line.
Today: all 144 cells are farmland
farmlandpressure buildingconverted to housing
Drivers (several can be on)
Planning strategy (council and state minister)
Years ahead0 yrs
0102030
Hill gradient (top rows)10°
0° flat10°25° steep
Farmland remaining
100%
Cells converted
0 / 144
Know this
Drivers such as land value and population growth create pressure for change, but the geographical characteristics of the area and region and the planning strategy decide where, how fast and whether it happens.